Consequence Assessment of Detonations in Explosive Material Handling Facilities: An Integrated Approach

Abstract

Facilities handling explosives present severe risks where standard safety distances often fail to capture complex detonation phenomena. This work introduces an integrated framework combining Computational Fluid Dynamics to simulate blast wave propagation and a probabilistic Monte Carlo model for fragment projection. By simulating site-specific interactions and stochastic debris trajectories, this methodology overcomes the limitations of empirical models. The result is a robust, multi-vector risk assessment tool that provides accurate consequence analysis for safety and territorial planning.